在 Sensor Tower 发布的《2025 State of Mobile》报告中,AI 成为移动领域增长最快的技术方向。2024年,全球生成式 AI 应用(包括 AI 聊天机器人和 AI 艺术生成器)通过 iOS 和 Google Play 产生的应用内购买(IAP)收入接近13亿美元,同比增长约180%;下载量接近15亿次,同比增长92%。其中,AI 聊天机器人子品类在2024年Q4的下载量达4.27亿次,同比增长119%,远超 AI 艺术生成器的8500万次。
尽管 ChatGPT 仍以约40%的 IAP 收入和23%的下载量占据领导地位,但市场已出现明显分化。截至2024年底,谷歌 Gemini、字节跳动豆包、Microsoft Copilot 等科技巨头的 AI 聊天机器人相继上线;全年共有16款生成式 AI 应用的 IAP 收入超过1000万美元,25款应用下载量突破1000万。2025年初 DeepSeek 的爆发式增长进一步表明,这一赛道仍在快速演进,开发者需关注竞品动态以调整用户获取(UA)和归因分析策略。
AI 技术的应用已远远超越聊天机器人,扩散至移动生态的多个垂直领域。通过分析应用名称和描述中“AI”“GPT”等关键词的出现情况,可以发现2023年提及 AI 的应用数量较2022年翻倍以上,生产力、工具、教育等品类增长尤为显著。2024年,尽管新增提及 AI 的应用数量有所回落,但仍有超3000款应用首次加入 AI 标签,涵盖游戏、工具、教育等15个品类,包括生活方式、金融、音乐、购物等泛娱乐与商业领域。
2024年,所有提及 AI 的应用全球下载量达到170亿次,约占当年总下载量的13%。这一数据不仅反映了用户对 AI 功能的接受度,也提示广告技术从业者在投放策略中需考虑 AI 标签带来的增量提效潜力。例如,在 ROAS 优化和 LTV 预估时,可结合 AI 功能作为用户分层和定向的依据;对于 MMP(移动测量合作伙伴)和 SKAN 归因框架,AI 应用的转化路径和事件定义可能需要更精细的建模。
总体来看,AI 正从“概念热潮”转向“落地渗透”,成为移动应用用户获取、广告变现和增长运营的核心杠杆。开发者和广告主需持续跟踪各垂类的 AI 创新动态,在合规框架下利用技术缩写如 CPI、ROAS、LTV 等指标评估投放效率,并借助 Sensor Tower 等平台的数据洞察制定差异化策略。2025年,随着 DeepSeek 等新玩家的涌入,AI 赛道的竞合格局将进一步重塑移动广告市场的投放逻辑与变现天花板。
Web-to-app strategies boost conversions by 77% and achieve 13.6% average paying user rate. Brands like adidas saw 2.4x higher ROAS from deep-linked users, while AirAsia improved bookings by 19%. Key challenges include measurement gaps, siloed teams, and onboarding friction. Solutions involve Google Ads Web-to-App Install and Web to App Connect with AppsFlyer Smart Banners and deep linking. Actionable steps: set tracking, import conversions, activate smart bidding, and deep link users.
Mobile app revenue hit $40B in Q1 2025 (+11% YoY), with non-game apps driving growth via AI and short drama. US digital ad spend reached $31B (+12% YoY), with video ads growing 18% while other formats declined 6%. Key trends: ChatGPT (#6 IAP) and short drama apps rising; retail media ad impressions up 31% YoY. Ad ops should prioritize video and AI-driven channels, and monitor Europe and APAC for growth.
AI assistants like ChatGPT, Gemini, and DeepSeek are reshaping web discovery, with traffic surging 86% YoY. Mobile now accounts for over half of global visits, yet desktop dominates engagement. Search and social remain dominant discovery channels, but AI users convert at higher rates (e.g., Amazon Rufus shoppers convert nearly 2x). For ad ops, optimizing for AI-driven traffic and cross-platform user behavior is critical.
AppsFlyer MCP connects Claude directly to live attribution data, replacing manual reporting and CSV exports. Gaming teams catch budget anomalies overnight, finance teams compress multi-hour analysis into minutes, and e-commerce teams close the gap between measurement and spend decisions. Setup takes under 60 seconds, enabling real-time queries on channels, cohorts, and ROAS. The key insight is that AI-powered analysis requires live data connections, not stale exports.
AI is reshaping consumer behavior, with 80% of Google searches ending without a click and half of consumers using AI for product research. This disrupts traditional channels like search (CPC up 10-25%) and affiliate marketing (revenues down 7%). Meanwhile, mobile apps and CTV offer stable, high-engagement alternatives. Advertisers should diversify away from disrupted channels, targeting the independent app ecosystem where Day 30 ROAS can be 116% higher. Key metrics: organic direct traffic share (target >51%) and disrupted channel spend share (target <34%).
At MAU 2026, the industry agreed that attention, not production, is the bottleneck. Cross-platform web-to-app attribution is now achievable with AppsFlyer's mobile-grade measurement extending to web, giving ad ops a unified view. AI is in production, with Square's team shipping six live workflows. Web-to-app is the most efficient top-of-funnel for app businesses, and retention overtakes acquisition. Ad ops must prioritize clean signal layers and incrementality testing over single-metric attribution.
WWDC26 focused on AI, with minimal changes to iOS attribution. Apple introduced Foundation Models, Core AI, and App Intents updates, but no significant AdAttributionKit or SKAN updates. For ad ops, this means continuity in measurement strategies. Key AI announcements include Siri AI, Xcode 27 agentic coding, and cross-developer subscription bundles. The lack of attribution changes provides stability for teams optimizing existing iOS measurement approaches.
In 2025, AI agents will automate ad production and UA, reducing personnel needs. Privacy concerns persist despite Google's cookie reversal, driving contextual targeting and new identifiers. Advertisers will explore CTV and in-app inventory via cost-per-outcome deals. M&A activity ramps up, with deal volume up 118% YoY. AI-generated creative becomes crucial as targeting narrows, enabling scalable, varied ad creatives.
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