MolocoMoloco

Super Bowl LX: Why Sportsbook Advertisers Should Bet on January

By Tom Shadbolt·Jan 18, 2026·3 min read

The article argues that while the Super Bowl is the biggest event for sportsbook user acquisition, its cost efficiency is only average due to intense competition. In contrast, January playoff games—including NFL Divisional and Conference Championships and the CFP National Championship—deliver acquisition efficiency up to 3x higher (cpFTD as low as $41 vs. $175 annual average) with substantial volume (up to 3.9x daily average).

These dates also benefit from lower ad costs (CPMs ~20% below average) and high-intent, engaged bettors who remain active throughout the postseason. Key data points: Super Bowl weekend generates 16x FTD volume but only slightly below-average cpFTD; January playoff days have cpFTD 3x below yearly average and 5x FTD volume vs. daily average.

Actionable takeaways: (1) Reallocate some Super Bowl budget to the January 17-19 Triple Header (NFL Divisional Round + CFP National Championship) and January 25-26 Conference Championships for better efficiency. (2) Don't abandon the Super Bowl—still high volume and solid efficiency—but optimize hourly bidding. (3) Continue efficient spend through March Madness, which remains below-average cost.

Overall, advertisers should activate earlier to capture high-intent users before market saturation, leveraging lower competition and costs.

You Might Also Like

SensorTowerSensorTower

Sensor Tower APAC Awards 2025

In 2025, non-game apps surpassed games in revenue, with total in-app spending hitting $167B. APAC publishers drove a $2.58B increase in gaming revenue. Short Drama and AI Assistant categories saw explosive growth, while Blinkit, Shopee, and DeepSeek led their sectors. For ad ops, this signals shifting user attention toward lifestyle, commerce, and AI tools, creating new inventory opportunities beyond gaming.

DiDi Rider·Feb 27, 2026·8 min readRead article →
AppsFlyerAppsFlyer

Winning Ramadan 2026: A Data-Backed Playbook for Gulf Decision Makers

Ramadan drives high mobile engagement in the Gulf, but success hinges on pre-Ramadan acquisition for higher LTV and remarketing during the month. eCommerce peaks early; finance responds to mature market triggers; travel converts at Eid. Post-Ramadan, focus on retention over acquisition to stabilize. AI tools are operational but measurement lags. Key takeaway: plan early, leverage remarketing, and phase strategies by period.

Matteo Ceurvels·Jan 27, 2026·10 min readRead article →
SensorTowerSensorTower

January by the Numbers: How App Behavior and Ad Spend Shifted in Early 2026

In January 2026, total ad spend reached $12 billion, matching 2025 levels, but category rankings shifted. Financial Services overtook CPG for third place, while Gaming replaced Food & Dining in the top six, with a 42% YoY spend increase. Health & Wellness maintained its January boost at 12% of spend. Gaming saw revenue per download rise 8% to $3.14, and Health & Fitness RPD grew 6% to $3.39. Ad ops decision-makers should note the rise of Financial Services and Gaming, and the decline of CPG and Food & Dining, signaling where to allocate budgets for higher ROI.

Feb 26, 2026·5 min readRead article →
AdjustAdjust

The state of dating apps 2026 | Adjust

Dating app installs dropped 4% and sessions fell 7% in 2025, with rising user acquisition costs (CPI up 89% to $2.76) and shrinking session lengths (13.21 to 11.49 min). However, retention improved, with Day 1 rates rising to 26%. Valentine's Day 2025 drove only modest dating app activity (installs +12%), while video streaming (+138%) and recipe apps (+49%) surged. The paid-to-organic rate increased to 2.14, indicating higher reliance on paid channels. Ad ops teams should optimize for efficiency amid rising costs and shifting seasonal behavior.

Prashansa Shrestha·Jan 28, 2026·5 min readRead article →
Liftoff(Vungle)Liftoff(Vungle)

Q5 Opportunities Mobile Game Marketers Can’t Afford to Miss

Q5 (late Dec-early Jan) offers mobile game advertisers lower CPMs and CPIs due to reduced brand ad spend, with Android CPMs dropping sharply and puzzle CPIs halving from December highs. Casual genres benefit most. Key strategies: run seasonal campaigns, shift Q1 budget to early January for cheaper installs, and re-engage lapsed users. Act early to build momentum for 2026.

Karen Corn | November 20·Nov 20, 2025·4 min readRead article →
AdjustAdjust

Mobile app trends and insights for Songkran 2026 | Adjust

During Songkran 2025 in Thailand, overall app installs rose 8% and sessions 12% YoY. Food & drink apps surged up to 141% in installs and 160% in sessions during the festival. E-commerce saw a post-festival spike (+49% installs). Entertainment apps had longer sessions (+30%), while social and messaging apps also grew significantly. Key actionable insights: align campaigns to pre/during/post phases, optimize for intermittent usage, segment tourists vs. locals, and capture long-term value post-festival.

steady gains in installs·Mar 31, 2026·6 min readRead article →
Liftoff(Vungle)Liftoff(Vungle)

Mobile madness: Advertiser lessons from peak event days

Major sporting events like the Super Bowl create compressed advertising windows requiring structured preparation and disciplined execution. A leading prediction-market advertiser successfully scaled budgets using staged ramp-up, real-time optimization, and contingency planning. Key strategies included pre-mapped escalation plans, continuous pacing monitoring, and mid-stream adjustments to maintain performance stability. Post-event analysis highlighted the importance of centralized planning and trusted partnerships to navigate volatility. Advertisers who prepare structured approaches—budget scaling, pacing strategies, and clear KPIs—are best positioned to capture opportunities in upcoming events like March Madness and the FIFA World Cup.

Performance Marketing·Mar 5, 2026·3 min readRead article →
AdjustAdjust

Turn segmentation into growth with Adjust Audiences | Adjust

Adjust Audiences enables ad ops teams to build real-time user segments for personalized campaigns. Key audience types include geographic, acquisition-based, lifecycle, inactivity, revenue, event-based, and combined segments. Sharing dynamic audiences with partners ensures up-to-date targeting, reducing wasted spend and improving ROI. Actionable insights: suppress low-intent users, retarget high-value segments, and automate workflows via partner integrations.

activating the audiences most·Mar 2, 2026·4 min readRead article →

More from Moloco